Categories Mining Stocks

Escalating Geopolitical and Economic Tensions Push Gold Above $3,400

This week has seen gold futures exhibit strong momentum with bullion climbing passed the psychologically critical $3,400 an ounce price level. This comes as a blending pot of heightening economic and geopolitical uncertainties takes center stage around the world.

Futures contracts slated for delivery in August this year witnessed solid buyer interest and ended the trading day on Thursday at $3,408. This reflected a 0.97% gain for gold on the day.

This rally is especially notable because technical traders will not lose sight of the fact that in just three days of trading from Monday, bullion has climbed by at least $75. This bullish momentum comes at a time when the dollar index has been losing strength, with Thursday’s trading alone seeing a 0.72% drop for the greenback.

Fundamentally, this rally can be attributed to a number of factors rotating around the increasing complexities in global macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties. For starters, the Middle East has been a hotbed of geopolitical concerns and a new twist has just been added to that mix with the collapse of talks between the U.S. and Iran. With America withdrawing some of its personnel from the region, the possibility of military confrontation between Israel and Iran has increased.

Uncertainty on economic policy, especially America’s trade policy, is also helping to drive up the price of bullion. A number of negotiations between the U.S. and its major trading partners were announced, but no agreements have been unveiled as the clock ticks towards the deadline of the pause in tariff implementation. This lack of progress is making markets increasingly jittery, and these are the situations in which gold thrives.

As all these macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds converge, a potent mix or perfect storm favoring bullion has been created and is continuing to consolidate. Traders are flocking to gold, with some preferring futures contracts of the metal while another sizeable number is acquiring the physical metal. All are being driven by a desire to shield their portfolios against geopolitical instability, inflation and currency debasement. Gold helps in diversifying investments and hedging against those different risks.

The sliding dollar is noteworthy because it signals reducing confidence in the country’s economic direction. As the dollar loses strength, more international traders are finding gold purchases less costly and their opportunity costs for acquiring the precious metal are reducing with the declines in the dollar index.

As more investor attention is directed towards acquiring gold, stocks of firms within the gold industry, such as Aston Bay Holdings Ltd. (TSX.V: BAY) (OTCQB: ATBHF) could soon see major inflows as the concerns around trade policy and geopolitics aren’t quickly resolved.

NOTE TO INVESTORS: The latest news and updates relating to Aston Bay Holdings Ltd. (TSX.V: BAY) (OTCQB: ATBHF) are available in the company’s newsroom at https://ibn.fm/ATBHF

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Lacey Bloss

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Lacey Bloss

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